Originally posted by jk
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Let me propose the way the current dietary dogma is promulgated via the MSM
1000 studies proposed
100 that are intended to support the current AHA diet heart/hypothesis eat fiber and not red meat or saturated fat paradigm are funded
20 that can be interpreted to support the paradigm are published
These studies are fed to the typical mouthpieces for the dietary establishment - The Larry Kudlows of diet - like Jane Brody and Gina Kolata of the New York Times.
They are further spun and refined in the framework of the reigning paradigm.
Re: The Chinese study, I'll use Brody's own reporting. Michael Eades did this quite thoroughly with the original paper.
Sixty-five hundred Chinese have each contributed 367 facts
Observational study based on self-reporting which is very unreliable, especially for diet
Obesity is related more to what people eat than how much. Adjusted for height, the Chinese consume 20 percent more calories than Americans do, but Americans are 25 percent fatter.
I don't doubt this at all. This is Taubes point exactly.
To make a significant impact, the Chinese data imply, a maximum of 20 percent of calories from fat - and preferably only 10 to 15 percent - should be consumed.
Notice the word "imply" what she is hypothesiziing was not tested
10-15% calories from fat is Dean Ornish's diet on which you will lose weight, lose muscle mass and your C-reactive protein and HDl levels will be worse than on a high fat low carb diet with the same calories. This would be an insanely low fat level. Thin and hungry with high insulin levels, inflammation and poor immune function. Most people find this unpalatable and much harder than low carb, with good reason.
Eating a lot of protein, especially animal protein, is also linked to chronic disease. Those Chinese who eat the most protein, and especially the most animal protein, also have the highest rates of the ''diseases of affluence'' like heart disease, cancer and diabetes.
This is the hobgoblin of all observational, uncontrolled studies, including Keye's original fraudulent study where he threw out all the countries that violated his hypothesis. Protein and especially meat consumption track wealth. So does refined grain and sugar consumption. In fact, sugar consumption usually goes up much more than protein with improving economic status. You can't control for it if you are not measuring it. Well covered by Taubes.
A rich diet that promotes rapid growth early in life may increase a woman's risk of developing cancer of the reproductive organs and the breast. Childhood diets high in calories, protein, calcium and fat promote growth and early menarche, which in turn is associated with high cancer rates. Chinese women, who rarely suffer these cancers, start menstruating three to six years later than Americans.
This is extremely interesting and makes me ask what could be powerful enough in a "rich diet" to have these profound effect? The answer is insulin. Bis-phenol a and meat eating do not cause early menarche, it is high insulin levels - the same thing causing the epidemic of childhood obesity. Fat has no insulin effect, protein minimal. I guess that leaves carbohydrates. Insulin is the powerful cancer and growth promoter, not calcium or calories per se and definitely not fat.
By matching characteristics, researchers derived 135,000 correlations, about 8,000 of which are expected to have both statistical and biological significance that could shed light on the cause of some devastating disease.
The not-so-polite term for this if you are a scientist is "data mining'
It would indeed be extremely unlikely not to find at least a few "associations'' that support nearly any dietary hypothesis whatsoever if you are doign that many regressions with that much data. Just toss out the ones that don't fit. Unfortunately, that is how most dietary epidemiology is done. It is a field with terrible science.
No study of diet that is not prospective and controlled is reliable.
Almost everything you read in the NYT or on MSN will be abjectly stupid or misleading. I have employees who now make a game of "who can find the stupidest health tip on MSN today."
Thats all the deconstruction I have time for now, but you can check Eades website and look for "China study"
) A large portion of the food we've set aside is rice, beans, and cereals, big no-nos, apparently, on your diet. We do, of course, have some canned meats and fish. Do you have emergency food, and, if yes, what's the make-up? If not, what would you include?
) part picked by me from the forest (and consumed fresh or pickled) part bought from the store (haven't found yet a reliable organic mushroom producer) .
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