The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

[KGW]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Do you know of the emphasis on the first 3 Sefiros? Pretty much explains it, no genes involved. They are: chochmah (wisdom), binah (understanding) and da'as (knowledge).

Studies have confirmed that the Ashkenazi have significantly higher IQ than most other populations. While one standard deviation doesn't make a remarkable difference at the thick end of the normal curve, it will have huge effects at the upper spectrum. This is sufficient to explain why there are so many Ashkenazi physicists, economists, chess grandmasters, financiers, mathematicians, etc etc etc -- all fields with high cognitive demands. Vitiates any basis for bizarre and unlikely conspiracy theories.

[jpetr48]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Sorry if this is a stupid ah ha moment.


What will be the West's response?
If they bomb Iran what will be China's response?

How much oil do the Chinese get from Iran?

Pretty confusing, uh? Oil will be a casualty in this war but the target is Israel. You will see an alliance of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev with Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and other Central Asian and Far East Asian leaders. They just met for tea at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit held in the Kazakhstan capital of Astana. The SCO, formed in 2001, is widely seen a rival to NATO. There, Ahmadinejad delivered a blistering speech against the “slavers and colonizers” of the West, called for a new world order, including the building of an anti-Western military and political alliance.

An Associated Press report quotes Ahmadinejad as calling on Russia, China and Central Asian countries “to form a united front against the West.”

So as this plays out, I am certain Israel will be the major front. Because Ahmadinejad thinks big, my guess is a multi-staged attack not only in Israel but also chemical, bio warfare used in major financial metro areas in US and Europe.
Like all the other record disasters in weather, earthquakes, etc, this will be unlike any war our nation or Israel has experienced.

[charliebrown]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Sorry if this is a stupid ah ha moment.

But are the war drums against Iran then really a ruse for war drums beating for the Chinese?

The scary thing is, Iran is building a nuke. They are showing their prowess in missiles by having test fires. I assume once they have nuke they will light one off in the desert for a demo too. It dosen't have to be good one, a crappy 20Kt gun type bomb that just makes heat and noise will suffice.

What will be the West's response?
If they bomb Iran what will be China's response?

How much oil do the Chinese get from Iran?

One would think that if we had plans to bomb Iran we would not be siphoning off oil for the SPR.
Although the people running the place are not very good at looking more than one step ahead.

[bart]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

That would be great. Hopefully it happens soon.

Indeed.

The incessant "proselytizing" and comments about "the dominant group" (insert eyerolls to taste) and continual thread hijack is unwelcome.

Maybe he'll get a clue and start a new thread himself.

[jiimbergin]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Hopefully Fred or admin will come up with something to help avoid this type of "special" topic and thread hijack - and odor too.

Perhaps start a "Jooz" or MENA thread/section and move initial posts there...

That would be great. Hopefully it happens soon.

[Chris Coles]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Hopefully Fred or admin will come up with something to help avoid this type of "special" topic and thread hijack - and odor too.

Perhaps start a "Jooz" or MENA thread/section and move initial posts there...

It seems my previous posts were taken in the wrong way; I was not, from my own starting point, aiming to include anything that was considered racist and if anything that I have posted here has been taken in that way, it was entirely not intended and I apologize for any offense that may have been given.

This thread is on the subject of the potential for a war to stem from the collapse of the economies of the West; surely it is a valid topic to look at the dominant group that have led to the collapse? Their underlying thinking and where that line of thought stems from?

[ash777]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Studies have confirmed that the Ashkenazi have significantly higher IQ than most other populations. While one standard deviation doesn't make a remarkable difference at the thick end of the normal curve, it will have huge effects at the upper spectrum. This is sufficient to explain why there are so many Ashkenazi physicists, economists, chess grandmasters, financiers, mathematicians, etc etc etc -- all fields with high cognitive demands. Vitiates any basis for bizarre and unlikely conspiracy theories.

From the same wikipedia entry:

Lynn in his 2006 book Race Differences in Intelligence writes that Israel has an average IQ of only about 95. Lynn explains this by breaking down the Israeli population into three components: 40 percent Ashkenazi Jews with an average IQ of 103; 40 percent Sephardi Jews (Oriental Jewish) with an average IQ of 91; and 20 percent Arab with an average IQ of 86. Lynn suggests these differences could have arisen from selective migration (more intelligent Jews emigrated to Britain and the USA), intermarriage with neighboring populations with different average IQs, selective survival through persecution (European Jews were the most persecuted), and the presence of ethnic non-Jews among the Ashkenazim in Israel as a result of the immigration of people from the former Soviet Bloc countries who posed as Jews.
David and Lynn in a 2007 literature review examined the average IQ of European (largely Ashkenazi) and Sephardic Jews in Israel and found a 14 point lower average score for the Sephardic Jews. The authors argue that this can be explained by the hypothesis of Cochran et al. since Sephardic Jews were allowed to work in a much wider range of occupations and therefore did not come under the evolutionary pressure described in the Cochran et al. study.[12]
A 2010 study by Bray et al. genotyped 471 unrelated Azkhenazi individuals and write that most of the diseases are not under strong positive selection, but rather rose to their current frequency through genetic drift after a population bottleneck. They also write that the Azkhenazi population are less isolated than previously thought with between 35 and 55 percent of the modern Ashkenazi genome coming from European descent.[13]

And from post 140:

http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...370#post201370

One might simply suppose that this is due to higher Jewish IQ. However, on the basis of Richard Lynn’s estimates of Ashkenazi Jewish IQ and correcting for the greater numbers of European Whites, the ratio of non-Jewish Whites to Jews should be around 7 to 1 (IQ >130) or 4.5 to 1 (IQ > 145). Instead, the ratio of non-Jewish Whites to Jews is around 1 to 1 or less. (See here.)

[bart]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Too bad. You did try. Now this good article by EJ has taken on a odor not in keeping with the original thoughts.

Hopefully Fred or admin will come up with something to help avoid this type of "special" topic and thread hijack - and odor too.

Perhaps start a "Jooz" or MENA thread/section and move initial posts there...

[touchring]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

I see this as economics and political talk. Without talking about groups of people, how do you perform a complete analysis?

Al Qaeda, Osama's 'grievances', Sept 11, Afghanistan, Palestine, Iran, America's debt crisis, they are all related. Obama is smart in addressing this issue, but it might be too late or he doesn't have the power.

The Art of War

So it is said that if you know your enemies and know yourself, you can win a hundred battles without a single loss.
If you only know yourself, but not your opponent, you may win or may lose.
If you know neither yourself nor your enemy, you will always endanger yourself.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Art_of_War

[jiimbergin]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

+1. surely there are other sites around the web that would welcome racist discussion. quoting 1931 "studies" about the "nordic race"? hmmm

+1 +1

[we_are_toast]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

You people are all crazy! There have been many studies showing that Intelligence is directly proportional to wheat consumption. But not just any wheat, it has to be in the form of bread. But again, not just any bread. People eating unleavened bread tend not to be as intelligent as people eating a well baked rye, for example. But of course, the most intelligent people of all, are people who have a fascination with;

"Toast"

Not to change the subject but, here's something Paul Krugman was saying about the output gap awhile ago.

...
Wait, there’s more. Ben Bernanke can’t push on a string – but he can pull, if necessary. Suppose fiscal policy ends up being too expansionary, so that real GDP “wants” to come in 2 percent above potential. In that case the Fed can tighten a bit, and no harm is done. But if fiscal policy is too contractionary, and real GDP comes in below potential, there’s no potential monetary offset. That means that fiscal policy should take risks in the direction of boldness.

So what kinds of numbers are we talking about? GDP next year will be about $15 trillion, so 1% of GDP is $150 billion. The natural rate of unemployment is, say, 5% — maybe lower. Given Okun’s law, every excess point of unemployment above 5 means a 2% output gap.

Right now, we’re at 6.5% unemployment and a 3% output gap – but those numbers are heading higher fast. Goldman predicts 8.5% unemployment, meaning a 7% output gap. That sounds reasonable to me.

So we need a fiscal stimulus big enough to close a 7% output gap. Remember, if the stimulus is too big, it does much less harm than if it’s too small. What’s the multiplier? Better, we hope, than on the early-2008 package. But you’d be hard pressed to argue for an overall multiplier as high as 2.

...

[jk]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Too bad. You did try. Now this good article by EJ has taken on a odor not in keeping with the original thoughts.

+1. surely there are other sites around the web that would welcome racist discussion. quoting 1931 "studies" about the "nordic race"? hmmm

[Munger]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

I find this kind of explaination very convincing. Jews are also "way out of proportion" in physics departments, the Manhattan project,
and during the 1960's, doctors offices. Somebody should tally the nobel prizes. I am betting more than 30% are going to people at least partly jewish.

Studies have confirmed that the Ashkenazi have significantly higher IQ than most other populations. While one standard deviation doesn't make a remarkable difference at the thick end of the normal curve, it will have huge effects at the upper spectrum. This is sufficient to explain why there are so many Ashkenazi physicists, economists, chess grandmasters, financiers, mathematicians, etc etc etc -- all fields with high cognitive demands. Vitiates any basis for bizarre and unlikely conspiracy theories.

[cjppjc]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Please don't encourage this line, not because there isn't some truth... but rather due to where it ends up. Been there, done that on a few unmoderated forums and it's almost always about hate and spin and similar - and basically worthless in the long run.

Too bad. You did try. Now this good article by EJ has taken on a odor not in keeping with the original thoughts.

[Chris Coles]

Re: The Next Ten Years – Part I: There will be blood - Eric Janszen

Some university professors have stolen work from their graduate students and it would be interesting to see if any of Einstein’s students complained of such thievery. A plagiarist seldom stops plagiarizing especially when he keeps getting away with it. Complaints against Einstein however seem to disappear down the Orwellian memory hole. Einstein is clearly a sacred cow to many. A few have even used the word “heresy” to describe serious well-documented criticism and charges of plagiarism against Einstein. The truth eventually wins out and Einstein will someday be best known as a great fraud instead of a great physicist.


http://us.altermedia.info/news-of-in...raud_1295.html

While not a academic, but having worked for some years at a time with some very respected academics; yet too, have been treated as a "heretic" by others and seen with my own eyes, how many academics have deep difficulties with new thinking from others, I can well believe this account to be true.

The problem is a lack of leadership. Any original thinker always has to deal with periods of time, sometimes very lengthy, when their "well" dries up for one reason or another. But today, modern science has become so competitive, and academic status is so driven by a need for a constant flow of results; then the combination of a fear of losing credibility, and the desperate need for a constant flow of new thinking, published papers; must inevitable lead to plagiarism. Indeed, there are many recorded cases; so it would not be credible to suggest that it does not occur.

Today, I believe that science has a desperate need for new leadership. But, sadly, that change will almost certainly have to wait for the "passing of the old guard" before the necessary change will occur.