Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

anybody home?

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #31
    Hey itulip gang! It was fun to log in here after a decade or more and see some great names from the past like ASH, Finster, T, shiny!, Milton Kuo, and rjwjr. All I'm missing are Fred, EJ, Jim Nickerson and VancouverGoinUp!

    Just wanted to remind us all that we were right.

    We were right about precious metals in the early 2000s. I bought my gold & silver in '04 and sold it all in '23 when I was in a financial pinch at a cool 400% profit. That would be more like 600% if I still had it but c'est la vie, it was a great investment.

    We were right about the housing bubble. However, after telling EJ I was thinking of selling my house that I love in 2006, he was kind enough to make a personal phone call and talk me off the ledge. In the end, it really only dipped about 20% in my neighborhood here in intown Atlanta around 2011. Seems that there were a lot of buyers waiting in the wings to get into the neighborhood when the prices softened. Anyway, I'm still in that house, and it has been a great investment too, likely appreciating by 250% since I bought it in 2004.

    We were right about the alphabet soup of MBS, ABS, CMO, CDO, CDS, etc. that were guaranteed to fail, and the stock market & economy crash that would follow. However, we were (or at least I was) unable to directly capitalize on that. I bought inverse funds in my 401k but failed to time the market right, thinking it would continue to fall, then staying in bond funds for years. My message to my younger self would be that having cash when the stock market just crashed is king. Go all in, even if you miss the bottom.

    The reason I logged in was because I was looking at this graph of the US inflation rate. The pandemic lockdown was KA and the ensuing stimulus and QE was POOM.

    Hope everyone's doing well. We were right, dammit.

    Screenshot 2025-05-27 at 4.59.59 PM.png

    Comment


    • #32
      I sure do miss all the people from this forum. And you're right... 2020 was ka and now we're in POOM! Too bad EJ and the gang aren't here to talk about it.

      Originally posted by jimmygu3 View Post
      Hey itulip gang! It was fun to log in here after a decade or more and see some great names from the past like ASH, Finster, T, shiny!, Milton Kuo, and rjwjr. All I'm missing are Fred, EJ, Jim Nickerson and VancouverGoinUp!

      Just wanted to remind us all that we were right.

      We were right about precious metals in the early 2000s. I bought my gold & silver in '04 and sold it all in '23 when I was in a financial pinch at a cool 400% profit. That would be more like 600% if I still had it but c'est la vie, it was a great investment.

      We were right about the housing bubble. However, after telling EJ I was thinking of selling my house that I love in 2006, he was kind enough to make a personal phone call and talk me off the ledge. In the end, it really only dipped about 20% in my neighborhood here in intown Atlanta around 2011. Seems that there were a lot of buyers waiting in the wings to get into the neighborhood when the prices softened. Anyway, I'm still in that house, and it has been a great investment too, likely appreciating by 250% since I bought it in 2004.

      We were right about the alphabet soup of MBS, ABS, CMO, CDO, CDS, etc. that were guaranteed to fail, and the stock market & economy crash that would follow. However, we were (or at least I was) unable to directly capitalize on that. I bought inverse funds in my 401k but failed to time the market right, thinking it would continue to fall, then staying in bond funds for years. My message to my younger self would be that having cash when the stock market just crashed is king. Go all in, even if you miss the bottom.

      The reason I logged in was because I was looking at this graph of the US inflation rate. The pandemic lockdown was KA and the ensuing stimulus and QE was POOM.

      Hope everyone's doing well. We were right, dammit.

      Screenshot 2025-05-27 at 4.59.59 PM.png

      Be kinder than necessary because everyone you meet is fighting some kind of battle.

      Comment


      • #33
        Nice to hear back from shiny! , alhough it took me several months to come back and see it, lol.

        I just noticed another itulip prediction that has come true: The 100 Ounce House. The latest median home price on FRED (Q2 ‘25) was $410,000. Gold surpassed $4,100/oz in Q3 ‘25 and is now trading around $4,600. Assuming home values have gained about 2% in the past 2 quarters, you can now buy the average house for around 91 ounces of gold.

        For reference, when I joined itulip in March ‘07, the average home was $257,400 and the gold price was $663, valuing an average home at 388 ounces of gold. When EJ took his initial $270 gold position in mid ‘01, homes were selling for $179,000, or 663 ounces of gold.

        IMG_0580.jpeg
        Attached Files

        Comment

        Working...
        X