Re: iTulip Forecasts since 1998
Is there an ETF that shorts commercial real estate. Why make the call now and not early this year?
If there was one in April 2008: Time to short financials, that will be perfect. SKF up 45%-50% since April.
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Re: iTulip Forecasts since 1998
Originally posted by GRG55 View PostI was looking out to a point, perhaps not too far off, where bonds [finally] start to price in the inflation that is already reflected in food, fuel and so much else.
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Re: iTulip Forecasts since 1998
Originally posted by Jim Nickerson View Post
I don't know what time frame you guys are referencing, but it seems for the past two weeks, since 6/13/08, rates are down while $GOLD is up a bit.
Since mid-March to now, yields are up, and $GOLD is down. Sorry for the chart duplication, can't seem to delete the extras.
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Re: iTulip Forecasts since 1998
Originally posted by metalman View Postmetals say... no. if bond yields go up why is gold going up?
2-Yr Note Yield
See Full Interactive Chart
link to 6 month $GOLD chart: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$GO...69&a=129594324
Originally posted by GRG55 View PostCould it be that both begin to price in future inflation?
I don't know what time frame you guys are referencing, but it seems for the past two weeks, since 6/13/08, rates are down while $GOLD is up a bit.
Since mid-March to now, yields are up, and $GOLD is down. Sorry for the chart duplication, can't seem to delete the extras.Last edited by Jim Nickerson; June 28, 2008, 10:35 AM.
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Re: iTulip Forecasts since 1998
metals say... no. if bond yields go up why is gold going up?
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Re: iTulip Forecasts since 1998
How about the short bonds call?
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iTulip Forecasts since 1998
This thread tracks iTulip forecasts made since the site was founded in 1998:- November 1998: Warns on Internet Bubble
- August 1999: No Y2K Disaster
- November 1999: How the Internet Bubble Will End
- March 2000: Internet Bubble Top
- April 2000: A Bear Market is Born
- January 2001: Post-Bubble Recession Q1
- September 2001: Gold Price Bottom at US$270
- August 2002: Warns of Housing Bubble
- January 2004: How Housing Bubble will End
- January 2005: Housing Bubble Correction
- June 2005: Housing Bubble Top
- October 2006: Recession by Q4 2007
- July 2007: Before the Stroke of Midnight
- December 2007: Time at last to short the stock market
- June 2008: Time at last to short commercial real estate
Last edited by FRED; June 24, 2008, 04:11 PM.Tags: None
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