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Gold breaks below 50-day ma

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  • Gold breaks below 50-day ma

    ok all you gold guys - what does this mean?
    buy now or wait for some more downstroke?

    http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6BF5L920110114

    By Frank Tang
    NEW YORK | Fri Jan 14, 2011 3:48pm EST

    NEW YORK (Reuters) - Gold dropped 1 percent on Friday to notch its biggest two-week loss in nearly a year, after China tightened bank reserves to rein in inflation and as safe-haven demand faded on a better economic outlook.
    Gold fell to a one-week low and hovered above its lowest in two months after China's central bank raised lenders' required reserves for the fourth time in just over two months, vowing the fight against inflation would be a top priority.
    "China's move is perceived (to show) that the country is capable of slowing down the level of inflation, and that takes some of the run of gold and industrial metals such as silver, platinum and palladium," said Frank McGhee, head precious metals trader at Integrated Brokerage Services.
    Bullion is used as an inflation hedge and benefits from a low interest-rate environment.
    Spot gold fell 1 percent to $1,359.50 an ounce by 3:22 p.m. EST, having hit a one-week low of $1,354.99. U.S. gold futures for February delivery settled down $26.50 an ounce at $1,360.50.
    In the first two weeks of this year, gold notched a decline of 4.3 percent, the largest consecutive two-week loss since late January, 2010.
    Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. economy should grow around 3 to 4 percent this year, a healthier clip than in 2010, but Fed officials said the economy still needs support from the U.S. central bank even if growth prospects appear firmer.
    U.S. data on Friday showed that underlying inflation remained tame, suggesting the recovery was strengthening modestly with little price pressure building, while sales at U.S. retailers rose slightly less than expected in December.
    Spot silver fell 1 percent to $28.39 an ounce.
    U.S. futures turnover remained stronger than usual, as COMEX gold futures volume totaled one-third above its 30-day average and silver was nearly 30 percent higher, preliminary Reuters data showed.
    The gold-to-silver ratio -- the number of ounces of silver needed to buy an ounce of gold -- rose to a one-month high on Friday at just below 48, showing that silver is underperforming gold in a falling market.
    GOLD BREAKS BELOW 50-DAY MA
    On charts, gold prices continued to face headwinds as selling pressure seemed to be reasserting itself after bullion broke below its 50-day moving average this week, said Rick Bensignor, chief market strategist at Dahlman Rose.
    Gold briefly rallied above $1,390 an ounce on Thursday, its highest this year after an unexpected jump in weekly U.S. jobless claims.
    Safe-haven buying also decreased this week after successful euro zone bond sales lessened worries about the bloc's debt crisis.

  • #2
    Re: Gold breaks below 50-day ma

    all I know is prices charged by dealers have barely budged with this "bear raid", so physical is not necessarily following the paper that closely.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Gold breaks below 50-day ma

      ej says china is popping its property bubble & taking on inflation w/rate hikes & bank lending... expects a 20% correction in total...

      bogus reuters article arguments for the gold correction per the latest ej in red...

      Originally posted by lektrode View Post
      ok all you gold guys - what does this mean?
      buy now or wait for some more downstroke?

      http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6BF5L920110114

      By Frank Tang
      NEW YORK | Fri Jan 14, 2011 3:48pm EST

      NEW YORK (Reuters) - Gold dropped 1 percent on Friday to notch its biggest two-week loss in nearly a year, after China tightened bank reserves to rein in inflation and as safe-haven demand faded on a better economic outlook.

      Gold fell to a one-week low and hovered above its lowest in two months after China's central bank raised lenders' required reserves for the fourth time in just over two months, vowing the fight against inflation would be a top priority.

      "China's move is perceived (to show) that the country is capable of slowing down the level of inflation, and that takes some of the run of gold and industrial metals such as silver, platinum and palladium," said Frank McGhee, head precious metals trader at Integrated Brokerage Services.
      yep... as forecast.

      Bullion is used as an inflation hedge and benefits from a low interest-rate environment.
      nah... negative interest rates not low interest rates.

      Spot gold fell 1 percent to $1,359.50 an ounce by 3:22 p.m. EST, having hit a one-week low of $1,354.99. U.S. gold futures for February delivery settled down $26.50 an ounce at $1,360.50.
      In the first two weeks of this year, gold notched a decline of 4.3 percent, the largest consecutive two-week loss since late January, 2010.
      Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. economy should grow around 3 to 4 percent this year, a healthier clip than in 2010, but Fed officials said the economy still needs support from the U.S. central bank even if growth prospects appear firmer.
      3 - 4% nominal, -2% real...

      U.S. data on Friday showed that underlying inflation remained tame, suggesting the recovery was strengthening modestly with little price pressure building, while sales at U.S. retailers rose slightly less than expected in December.
      < 2% cpi, > 5% ppi...

      GOLD BREAKS BELOW 50-DAY MA
      On charts, gold prices continued to face headwinds as selling pressure seemed to be reasserting itself after bullion broke below its 50-day moving average this week, said Rick Bensignor, chief market strategist at Dahlman Rose.
      Gold briefly rallied above $1,390 an ounce on Thursday, its highest this year after an unexpected jump in weekly U.S. jobless claims.
      how do they know the dip is tied to jump in jobless claims? correlation not = causation.

      Safe-haven buying also decreased this week after successful euro zone bond sales lessened worries about the bloc's debt crisis.
      maybe... maybe not.

      i'll wait for the end of china crash & before reflation to buy gold/oil. too early now.

      buy tbonds now?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Gold breaks below 50-day ma

        Gold is probably going lower, but don't get too bearish.
        The $1260 - 1270 area should provide strong support - unless China has a melt-down of some degree.
        (As EJ fears?)
        Of course the *new* CONgress could balance the budget and end the Bonar problem.

        http://www.itulip.com/forums/attachm...3&d=1294434017

        The current attachment is from the work of an excellent technician who has been bullish on gold since 2002, and whose calls have been right at least three or four times for each wrong call. He's looking for a high of some degree in January (we've probably already seen it at $1420 something) and a correction.
        But to my knowledge his Long-Term Targets of $1,810 and $2,770 remain.
        Attached Files

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