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80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

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  • 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

    Long-Term Unemployment: 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

    Just one in five people who were out of work last summer have found jobs since then.

    Of more than a thousand unemployed people surveyed by Rutgers University researchers last August, just 21 percent had landed a job by March, a followup survey reveals. Two-thirds remained "unemployed" according to the government's definition -- the rest gave up looking for work altogether, either going to school or retiring early.

    "It's a pretty grim study," said Cliff Zukin, one of the authors of the report at the John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development at Rutgers.

    Here's how this grim finding looks graphically:



    Of the people who found work, only 13 percent found full-time jobs, and 61 percent said their new gig was just "something to get you by while you look for something better."

    Seventy percent have been looking for work for longer than six months, the survey found -- up from 48 percent in the summer. (In March, the number of people out of work for that length of time increased by 414,000 month to 6.5 million, representing 44.1 percent of all unemployed.

    To cope, 70 percent dipped into retirement funds, 56 percent borrowed money from family or friends and 45 percent turned to credit cards. Forty-two percent skimped on medical care, 20 percent moved in with family or friends and 18 percent visited a soup kitchen.

    "The cushion's completely gone," said Zukin. "I think we're looking at more cutting the core... It's a much deeper economic gash this time."
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    The Rutgers report (53 pages) - No End in Sight: The Agony of Prolonged Unemployment

  • #2
    Re: 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

    There was another article at My Budget 360 - Middle class getting pushed into poverty and working poor status – The cloaked recovery for the middle class. How 30 percent of the poor are unemployed.

    It had an unemployment chart showing unemployment by household income distribution -- in light of the Rutger's report, that raises a few questions in my mind, in particular whether unemployment statistics are being grossly under reported, particularly in the above average income families.




    If we break down the numbers further, we realize that employment is only good for the top 20 percent:


    To me it is likely, that people in the upper income brackets, may not be applying for UI, and therefore may not be counted as unemployed -- also, they may not be admitting to surveyors that they are unemployed, because of image issues.

    Any thoughts?

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    • #3
      Re: 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

      Rajiv - this supports your suspicions from at least one angle ...From National Review Online back in February ....

      Thank you for shedding a light on unemployment among consultants, referenced in a comment at NRO. We are the undocumented workers of the white collar world. We aren't counted in unemployment statistics. We don't qualify for unemployment insurance. We pay double FICA. Since we have assets and don't live in public housing, we don't qualify for food stamps. We have to find and pay for our own insurance, which is pretty pricey. It's a scary situation.
      Because lots of independent workers don't get unemployment they just lose their jobs and that is that. Interesting food for thought.

      All that said, though, I suspect that the upper brackets do not exhibit as much unemployment as the lower because many of the lower wage jobs are services oriented and able to be cut back when individual or corporate budgets call for it. In fact, it is my suspicion that a lot of services jobs will never return because we will never get back to the overworked two-income family. They were so busy they couldn't do their own shopping (my favorite example of economic folly). In the heyday, those poor souls had to hire a professional shopper to get whatever they needed. But that is just a silly example. Needs for more practical daycare, food preparation, deli services, maid services, etc. have to fall as two income households become one income households and the unemployed spouse goes back or starts doing housekeeping and saving money. Now the trick will be for wages for the single wage earner in the household to rise enough for the family to thrive.

      I don't think this trend is getting any press at all, and I will be very interested to see how the census reports the changes. Or, will they?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

        I lost my job in November and just found a 3-month contract gig, starting Monday. I'm in the upper income brackets and had no problem signing up for UI (of which I still have about 3 months left).

        I work in software and have no doubt there are many hidden unemployed. As has been noted on itulip, high tech never really regained the jobs lost after the dot-com boom, and relies on temps, contractors, and 'off-shoring'.

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        • #5
          Re: 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

          Originally posted by dex3703 View Post
          I lost my job in November and just found a 3-month contract gig, starting Monday. I'm in the upper income brackets and had no problem signing up for UI (of which I still have about 3 months left).

          I work in software and have no doubt there are many hidden unemployed. As has been noted on itulip, high tech never really regained the jobs lost after the dot-com boom, and relies on temps, contractors, and 'off-shoring'.
          As a contract worker are you paying unemployment insurance? A stand-alone in-business contractor can't pay into or receive unemployment. A worker employed for a specified time under a contract apparently can. Is this as gray or transitional an area as it appears?

          The latest buzz word is Crowd Sourcing. IBM was rumored to be planning on making most of their international workforce "contractors", crowd sourcing, thereby eliminating all costs but labor fees as per the contracts.

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          • #6
            Re: 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

            I work in :vampire squid: land, and the good news is that we are hiring, the bad news is that all hiring is for offshore resources. The CEO made a statement on the earnings call that headcount will not increase but will look to "leverage" technology to increase productivity. This means more work for the same pay for the rest of us.

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            • #7
              Re: 80 Percent Of People Jobless Last Summer Still Out Of Work

              This looks like its gonna be the new normal.

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