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Thread: Red alert

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  1. #28
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
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    4,044

    Default Re: Red alert

    Quote Originally Posted by shiny! View Post
    A little more data is coming out now. Found this today. Take it with a grain of salt considering the source:

    If these numbers are correct, then the fatality rate of 2.3% is similar to the Spanish Flu which was approx. 2.5%.

    2019-nCoV appears to have a much higher infection rate than common flu. So even if most people who catch it only experience mild symptoms, the total number of cases and therefor total number of deaths could be much larger than that of the flu.

    Thoughts, anyone?

    I think it depends on whether there is a widespread community breakout as reinfections can be deadly even to people in their 20s and 30s even to immune over response. If there is reinfection, the fatality will be more than 2%.

    This might explain why the situation is much more severe at the epicentre city Wuhan where there is widespread infection and probably reinfections, and many doctors in their 30s and recently one only 29 years old succumbing to the virus.
    Last edited by touchring; 02-21-20 at 10:23 PM.

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