Page 2 of 2 FirstFirst 12
Results 21 to 25 of 25

Thread: Economic MAD approaching its logical conclusion?

  1. #21

    Default Re: Smoot-Hawley did not cause the crash or depression

    Hola,

    Would an expected yield curve going Back to the Future 30 years from now be asking too much?

    You guys have a car like that, right?

    The current yield curve is what it is:

    http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rat...ment-bonds/us/

    but what would it look like based on Poom?

  2. #22
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    US, Europe and Asia
    Posts
    4,592

    Default Re: Smoot-Hawley did not cause the crash or depression

    Quote Originally Posted by FondoFinder View Post
    Hola,

    Would an expected yield curve going Back to the Future 30 years from now be asking too much?

    You guys have a car like that, right?

    The current yield curve is what it is:

    http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rat...ment-bonds/us/

    but what would it look like based on Poom?

    Ed.

  3. #23
    jk's Avatar
    jk is online now Shadow Fed, iTulip Select Member, The Brain
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Posts
    10,194

    Default Re: Smoot-Hawley did not cause the crash or depression

    Quote Originally Posted by FRED View Post

    your yield curve implies that the discount rate is going to go up over 1000bps within the next 12 mos. exciting times? seems to me this can't happen without the dxy going to about 50 or lower, again within the next 12 mos. gasoline at $6-7/gallon. you really expect things to happen that fast? this process has heretofore unfolded at a stately pace. what's going to accelerate it so sharply?

  4. #24
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    Baltimore....hon!
    Posts
    39

    Default Re: Economic MAD approaching its logical conclusion?

    This analysis is simply wrong. The US suffered from Smoot-Hawley because it was the world's largest net exporter at the time. That situation is turned on its head now. The only things we export are now food and weapons. Tariffs are inapplicable to these goods. China wants to starve its people in exchange for being able to export plastic toys profitably?

  5. #25
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    Oregon
    Posts
    1,444

    Default Re: Economic MAD approaching its logical conclusion?

    Quote Originally Posted by Brooks Gracie View Post
    This analysis is simply wrong. The US suffered from Smoot-Hawley because it was the world's largest net exporter at the time. That situation is turned on its head now. The only things we export are now food and weapons. Tariffs are inapplicable to these goods. China wants to starve its people in exchange for being able to export plastic toys profitably?
    I'm intrigued by your thesis. What percentages of the U.S.'s exports do you believe is immune to the effects of a trade war? And could you also flesh out the idea that net importers do not suffer, but benefit, from a trade war? These assertions are not obvious to me.

Similar Threads

  1. Stroupe's Conclusion
    By don in forum News
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-08-09, 02:19 PM
  2. Ideo-Logical
    By don in forum News
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 06-01-09, 01:56 PM
  3. Replies: 151
    Last Post: 10-19-08, 03:31 PM
  4. Replies: 8
    Last Post: 03-16-08, 01:54 AM

Bookmarks

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Opinions expressed herein are those of the posters, not those of iTulip, Inc., its owners, or management. All material posted on this board becomes the intellectual property of the poster and iTulip, Inc., and may not be reposted in full on another website without the express written permission of iTulip, Inc. By exception, the original registered iTulip member who authored a post may repost his or her own material on other sites. Permission is hereby granted to repost brief excerpts of material from this forum on other websites provided that attribution and a link to the source is included with the reposted material.

Nothing on this website is intended or should be construed as investment advice. It is intended to be used for informational and entertainment purposes only. We reserve the right to make changes, including change in price, content, description, terms, etc. at any time without notice. By using this board you agree that you understand the risks of trading, and are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions. Read full legal disclaimer.

Journalists are not permitted to contact iTulip members through this forum's email and personal messaging services without written permission from iTulip, Inc. Requests for permission may be made via Contact Us.

Objectionable posts may be reported to the board administrators via Contact Us.

-->