View Full Version : Does POOM mean more stock drops?
LazyBoy
11-08-08, 10:07 PM
For those of us who didn't get completely out of stocks in time, is it still time to sell? I know EJ/iTulip said get out at the end of last year, but I'm not clear if the POOM theory says there are more drops to come.
Thanks,
LB
LZ,
EJ has not retracted his statement that we will see Dow 5000 before this is all over.
Of course, the 5000 number represents a 2007 (or is it 2006?) purchasing power dollar.
If we get 20% inflation, then the actual number might be 6000 for example.
EJ has also made a statement that the present rush into dollars, hence stronger dollar, hence lower commodity prices, will likely end in 2 to 6 months. By then it is equally likely that the export engine in the US will have been significantly compromised.
Thus it is possible that we'll see a short term rally before the big fall - but again the wild card is going to be what lame duck Bush and golden boy Obama do in the next several months to a year.
My advice: review your portfolio very carefully. Any company which you are 100% certain will outperform 95% of its peers for the next decade, you can keep. The rest, keep an eye out to sell.
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