Election Prediction - And the next four years?

[Lukester]

I'm gonna bet it's not just an Obama victory, but a landslide. Dems get more than 350 seats in the house. And it's entirely possible that the DOW goes to 30K within this next five years, while precious metals underperform. :eek:

[WDCRob]

Peak Democrats, eh Luke? ;)

[Chris]

I have bet on an Obama victory ;)

I'm agnostic as to whether this will be worse than four more years of the republicans.

[we_are_toast]

Obama 51.8 McCain 46.7
Obama 338 electoral

Obama will stop at nothing to get the oil needle out of Americas arm. Strong incentives for alternative energy, strong taxes on oil and coal. Big spending on Infrastructure, selective manufacturing (efficient cars), national health insurance(kind of). In 8 years, America will be transformed from old, corrupt, wasteful industries, to new productive industries. The trade deficit will drop, the budget deficit will explode, then drop on a steady path to becoming balanced. The change will be bigger than that of FDR's.

[*T*]

I remember what hopes we had for Blair in '97.

[FRED]

Obama 51.8 McCain 46.7
Obama 338 electoral

Obama will stop at nothing to get the oil needle out of Americas arm. Strong incentives for alternative energy, strong taxes on oil and coal. Big spending on Infrastructure, selective manufacturing (efficient cars), national health insurance(kind of). In 8 years, America will be transformed from old, corrupt, wasteful industries, to new productive industries. The trade deficit will drop, the budget deficit will explode, then drop on a steady path to becoming balanced. The change will be bigger than that of FDR's.

Grooving on the Obama gold rally?

http://i36.tinypic.com/23tfkud.gif

[Jim Nickerson]

I'm gonna bet it's not just an Obama victory, but a landslide. Dems get more than 350 seats in the house. And it's entirely possible that the DOW goes to 30K within this next five years, while precious metals underperform. :eek:

Most anything is possible. Aren't you mostly in PM's, or do I misrecollect?

It usually reasonably easy to keep up with where your mouth is, but where is your money?

[Lukester]

OK We_are_toast -

Spill the beans. How did you guess the electoral votes this morning?

796

Obama 51.8 McCain 46.7
Obama 338 electoral

Obama will stop at nothing to get the oil needle out of Americas arm. Strong incentives for alternative energy, strong taxes on oil and coal. Big spending on Infrastructure, selective manufacturing (efficient cars), national health insurance(kind of). In 8 years, America will be transformed from old, corrupt, wasteful industries, to new productive industries. The trade deficit will drop, the budget deficit will explode, then drop on a steady path to becoming balanced. The change will be bigger than that of FDR's.

[vdhulla]

Obama 51.8 McCain 46.7
Obama 338 electoral



OK We_are_toast -

Spill the beans. How did you guess the electoral votes this morning?

796

I noticed that too ! Seriously, how did u come up with the 338 no :eek:

[Tulpen]

Election Prediction - And the next four years?

Next four years:

- More tax money thrown down the drains
- Protectionism
- Tax increases

I think a democratic president and congress is the worst thing right now for the US economy.

[we_are_toast]

OK We_are_toast -

Spill the beans. How did you guess the electoral votes this morning?

796

Looks like Indiana will go to Obama, so I'm a bit low. Popular vote looks like Obama 52.3 McCain 46.4

As a recovering low level campaign manager and political junkie, I still haven't been able to break my habit of analyzing political campaigns like others here analyze inflation, deflation, or capital flow.

[algerwetmore]

I think the fiscal problems will be too great even for Obama. I always thought that whoever would win this election, would most likely be a one-termer. Of course having said this, I voted for Obama because I wanted a president that would offer hope, not fear.

[tsetsefly]

Obama will be a one term president.

What I see is:
Increase in government size and spending
Increasing deficit
Both wars will still be going on, I guarantee that!

This will be bad in itslef but if he and this congress go crazy ala FDR, with price controls, tax increases, trade restrictions etc. Get ready for 7-8 years of missery....

[Lukester]

Wow, this crowd is beyond cynical. Where is your "shining city on the hill" and your "ask not what yer country can do for you" etc? ... iTulipers. What a jaundiced bunch of cynical, sourpuss, been there and done that gloomers ... Here we are with the JFK redux, hope for a new tomorrow, "change" and what have you - and look at the sour, disbelieving expressions all around. Tsk tsk. :rolleyes:

[reallife]

Obama will be a one term president.

What I see is:
Increase in government size and spending
Increasing deficit
Both wars will still be going on, I guarantee that!

This will be bad in itslef but if he and this congress go crazy ala FDR, with price controls, tax increases, trade restrictions etc. Get ready for 7-8 years of missery....

You pretty much summed up the Bush presidency!

[bart]

Wow, this crowd is beyond cynical. Where is your "shining city on the hill" and your "ask not what yer country can do for you" etc? ... iTulipers. What a jaundiced bunch of cynical, sourpuss, been there and done that gloomers ... Here we are with the JFK redux, hope for a new tomorrow, "change" and what have you - and look at the sour, disbelieving expressions all around. Tsk tsk. :rolleyes:

"Inside every cynical person is a disappointed idealist."
— George Carlin, comedian & social commentator

[tsetsefly]

You pretty much summed up the Bush presidency!
yup, the only distinction between parties is who gets the subsidies, gay marriage and abortion...

THe one term thing wont be his fault as he can do nothing about the state of the economy the next couple of years. But he will pay for it....